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1.
JAMA ; 329(14): 1170-1182, 2023 04 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37039791

RESUMEN

Importance: Preclinical models suggest dysregulation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection may increase the relative activity of angiotensin II compared with angiotensin (1-7) and may be an important contributor to COVID-19 pathophysiology. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of RAS modulation using 2 investigational RAS agents, TXA-127 (synthetic angiotensin [1-7]) and TRV-027 (an angiotensin II type 1 receptor-biased ligand), that are hypothesized to potentiate the action of angiotensin (1-7) and mitigate the action of the angiotensin II. Design, Setting, and Participants: Two randomized clinical trials including adults hospitalized with acute COVID-19 and new-onset hypoxemia were conducted at 35 sites in the US between July 22, 2021, and April 20, 2022; last follow-up visit: July 26, 2022. Interventions: A 0.5-mg/kg intravenous infusion of TXA-127 once daily for 5 days or placebo. A 12-mg/h continuous intravenous infusion of TRV-027 for 5 days or placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was oxygen-free days, an ordinal outcome that classifies a patient's status at day 28 based on mortality and duration of supplemental oxygen use; an adjusted odds ratio (OR) greater than 1.0 indicated superiority of the RAS agent vs placebo. A key secondary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. Safety outcomes included allergic reaction, new kidney replacement therapy, and hypotension. Results: Both trials met prespecified early stopping criteria for a low probability of efficacy. Of 343 patients in the TXA-127 trial (226 [65.9%] aged 31-64 years, 200 [58.3%] men, 225 [65.6%] White, and 274 [79.9%] not Hispanic), 170 received TXA-127 and 173 received placebo. Of 290 patients in the TRV-027 trial (199 [68.6%] aged 31-64 years, 168 [57.9%] men, 195 [67.2%] White, and 225 [77.6%] not Hispanic), 145 received TRV-027 and 145 received placebo. Compared with placebo, both TXA-127 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.3 [95% CrI, -4.8 to 0.2]; adjusted OR, 0.88 [95% CrI, 0.59 to 1.30]) and TRV-027 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.4 [95% CrI, -5.1 to 0.3]; adjusted OR, 0.74 [95% CrI, 0.48 to 1.13]) resulted in no difference in oxygen-free days. In the TXA-127 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 22 of 163 patients (13.5%) in the TXA-127 group vs 22 of 166 patients (13.3%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 0.83 [95% CrI, 0.41 to 1.66]). In the TRV-027 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 29 of 141 patients (20.6%) in the TRV-027 group vs 18 of 140 patients (12.9%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 1.52 [95% CrI, 0.75 to 3.08]). The frequency of the safety outcomes was similar with either TXA-127 or TRV-027 vs placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: In adults with severe COVID-19, RAS modulation (TXA-127 or TRV-027) did not improve oxygen-free days vs placebo. These results do not support the hypotheses that pharmacological interventions that selectively block the angiotensin II type 1 receptor or increase angiotensin (1-7) improve outcomes for patients with severe COVID-19. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04924660.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1 , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Vasodilatadores , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Angiotensina II/metabolismo , Angiotensinas/administración & dosificación , Angiotensinas/uso terapéutico , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/fisiopatología , COVID-19/terapia , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Infusiones Intravenosas , Ligandos , Oligopéptidos/administración & dosificación , Oligopéptidos/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/administración & dosificación , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/uso terapéutico , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina/efectos de los fármacos , SARS-CoV-2 , Vasodilatadores/administración & dosificación , Vasodilatadores/uso terapéutico
2.
JAMA ; 328(11): 1063-1072, 2022 09 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36125473

RESUMEN

Importance: Helmet noninvasive ventilation has been used in patients with COVID-19 with the premise that helmet interface is more effective than mask interface in delivering prolonged treatments with high positive airway pressure, but data about its effectiveness are limited. Objective: To evaluate whether helmet noninvasive ventilation compared with usual respiratory support reduces mortality in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to COVID-19 pneumonia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a multicenter, pragmatic, randomized clinical trial that was conducted in 8 sites in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait between February 8, 2021, and November 16, 2021. Adult patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (n = 320) due to suspected or confirmed COVID-19 were included. The final follow-up date for the primary outcome was December 14, 2021. Interventions: Patients were randomized to receive helmet noninvasive ventilation (n = 159) or usual respiratory support (n = 161), which included mask noninvasive ventilation, high-flow nasal oxygen, and standard oxygen. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. There were 12 prespecified secondary outcomes, including endotracheal intubation, barotrauma, skin pressure injury, and serious adverse events. Results: Among 322 patients who were randomized, 320 were included in the primary analysis, all of whom completed the trial. Median age was 58 years, and 187 were men (58.4%). Within 28 days, 43 of 159 patients (27.0%) died in the helmet noninvasive ventilation group compared with 42 of 161 (26.1%) in the usual respiratory support group (risk difference, 1.0% [95% CI, -8.7% to 10.6%]; relative risk, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.72-1.49]; P = .85). Within 28 days, 75 of 159 patients (47.2%) required endotracheal intubation in the helmet noninvasive ventilation group compared with 81 of 161 (50.3%) in the usual respiratory support group (risk difference, -3.1% [95% CI, -14.1% to 7.8%]; relative risk, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.75-1.17]). There were no significant differences between the 2 groups in any of the prespecified secondary end points. Barotrauma occurred in 30 of 159 patients (18.9%) in the helmet noninvasive ventilation group and 25 of 161 (15.5%) in the usual respiratory support group. Skin pressure injury occurred in 5 of 159 patients (3.1%) in the helmet noninvasive ventilation group and 10 of 161 (6.2%) in the usual respiratory support group. There were 2 serious adverse events in the helmet noninvasive ventilation group and 1 in the usual respiratory support group. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study suggest that helmet noninvasive ventilation did not significantly reduce 28-day mortality compared with usual respiratory support among patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to COVID-19 pneumonia. However, interpretation of the findings is limited by imprecision in the effect estimate, which does not exclude potentially clinically important benefit or harm. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04477668.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Ventilación no Invasiva , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno , Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Enfermedad Aguda , Barotrauma/etiología , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/terapia , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Hipoxia/terapia , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ventilación no Invasiva/efectos adversos , Ventilación no Invasiva/métodos , Oxígeno/administración & dosificación , Oxígeno/efectos adversos , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/efectos adversos , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/métodos , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/etiología , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia
4.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 116, 2022 01 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35013227

RESUMEN

Glioblastoma is an aggressive form of brain cancer with well-established patterns of intra-tumoral heterogeneity implicated in treatment resistance and progression. While regional and single cell transcriptomic variations of glioblastoma have been recently resolved, downstream phenotype-level proteomic programs have yet to be assigned across glioblastoma's hallmark histomorphologic niches. Here, we leverage mass spectrometry to spatially align abundance levels of 4,794 proteins to distinct histologic patterns across 20 patients and propose diverse molecular programs operational within these regional tumor compartments. Using machine learning, we overlay concordant transcriptional information, and define two distinct proteogenomic programs, MYC- and KRAS-axis hereon, that cooperate with hypoxia to produce a tri-dimensional model of intra-tumoral heterogeneity. Moreover, we highlight differential drug sensitivities and relative chemoresistance in glioblastoma cell lines with enhanced KRAS programs. Importantly, these pharmacological differences are less pronounced in transcriptional glioblastoma subgroups suggesting that this model may provide insights for targeting heterogeneity and overcoming therapy resistance.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Encefálicas/genética , Heterogeneidad Genética , Glioblastoma/genética , Hipoxia/genética , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas c-myc/genética , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas p21(ras)/genética , Antineoplásicos/uso terapéutico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidad , Línea Celular Tumoral , Estudios de Cohortes , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Resistencia a Antineoplásicos/genética , Perfilación de la Expresión Génica , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica , Glioblastoma/diagnóstico , Glioblastoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Glioblastoma/mortalidad , Humanos , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Captura por Microdisección con Láser , Aprendizaje Automático , Modelos Genéticos , Proteínas de Neoplasias/clasificación , Proteínas de Neoplasias/metabolismo , Proteómica/métodos , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas c-myc/metabolismo , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas p21(ras)/metabolismo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Transcriptoma
5.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 205(1): 108-117, 2022 01 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34648724

RESUMEN

Rationale: Data from population-based cohorts suggest that symptom subtypes and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA)-specific hypoxic burden (HB) could help to better identify patients with OSA at high cardiovascular (CV) risk. Objectives: We aimed to evaluate whether those new markers are associated with the risk of major adverse CV events (MACE) in clinical setting. Methods: Data from the Pays de la Loire cohort were linked to health administrative data to identify the occurrence of MACE (a composite outcome including all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, and unplanned coronary revascularization) in patients with newly diagnosed OSA and no overt CV disease. Latent class analysis was used to identify subtypes based on eight clinically relevant variables. HB was defined as the total area under the respiratory event-related desaturation curve. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association of symptom subtypes and HB with MACE. Measurements and Main Results: Four symptom subtypes were identified (minimally symptomatic [22.0%], disturbed sleep [17.5%], excessively sleepy [49.8%], and moderately sleepy [10.6%]). After a median follow-up of 78 months (interquartile range, 52-109), 592 (11.05%) of 5,358 patients experienced MACE. In a fully adjusted model, HB and overall nocturnal hypoxemia assessed by sleep time with oxygen saturation <90% were the only predictors of MACE (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.38; and hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-1.55, respectively). The association appeared stronger toward younger patients and women. Conclusion: In clinical setting, patients with OSA who demonstrate elevated OSA-specific HB are at higher risk of a CV event and all-cause mortality. Symptom subtypes were not associated with MACE after adjustment for confounders.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Factores de Riesgo de Enfermedad Cardiaca , Hipoxia/fisiopatología , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/diagnóstico , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/fisiopatología , Adulto , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Análisis por Conglomerados , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Francia/epidemiología , Humanos , Hipoxia/complicaciones , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Gravedad del Paciente , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/complicaciones , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/mortalidad
6.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 205(4): 431-439, 2022 02 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34861135

RESUMEN

Rationale: The "Berlin definition" of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) does not allow inclusion of patients receiving high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO). However, several articles have proposed that criteria for defining ARDS should be broadened to allow inclusion of patients receiving HFNO. Objectives: To compare the proportion of patients fulfilling ARDS criteria during HFNO and soon after intubation, and 28-day mortality between patients treated exclusively with HFNO and patients transitioned from HFNO to invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Methods: From previously published studies, we analyzed patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) who had PaO2/FiO2 of ⩽300 while treated with ⩾40 L/min HFNO, or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) with positive end-expiratory pressure of ⩾5 cm H2O (comparator). In patients transitioned from HFNO/NIV to invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), we compared ARDS severity during HFNO/NIV and soon after IMV. We compared 28-day mortality in patients treated exclusively with HFNO/NIV versus patients transitioned to IMV. Measurements and Main Results: We analyzed 184 and 131 patients receiving HFNO or NIV, respectively. A total of 112 HFNO and 69 NIV patients transitioned to IMV. Of those, 104 (92.9%) patients on HFNO and 66 (95.7%) on NIV continued to have PaO2/FiO2 ⩽300 under IMV. Twenty-eight-day mortality in patients who remained on HFNO was 4.2% (3/72), whereas in patients transitioned from HFNO to IMV, it was 28.6% (32/112) (P < 0.001). Twenty-eight-day mortality in patients who remained on NIV was 1.6% (1/62), whereas in patients who transitioned from NIV to IMV, it was 44.9% (31/69) (P < 0.001). Overall mortality was 19.0% (35/184) and 24.4% (32/131) for HFNO and NIV, respectively (P = 0.2479). Conclusions: Broadening the ARDS definition to include patients on HFNO with PaO2/FiO2 ⩽300 may identify patients at earlier stages of disease but with lower mortality.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/terapia , Hipoxia/terapia , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/métodos , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/terapia , Anciano , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/fisiopatología , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Hipoxia/virología , Italia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/mortalidad , Gravedad del Paciente , Respiración Artificial/métodos , Respiración Artificial/mortalidad , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/mortalidad , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/virología , Resultado del Tratamiento
7.
Pak J Pharm Sci ; 34(5): 1679-1683, 2021 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34803002

RESUMEN

Almost all plants contain polyphenols. Literature shows that polyphenols exhibit many biological activities. Little has known about their protective effects against hypoxia-induced lethality. The protective effects of rutin (1) and chlorogenic acid (2) against hypoxia conditions in mice were determined by three different experimental models. Antihypoxic activity was especially pronounced in asphytic hypoxia. Both compounds (1&2) showed statistically significant (p>0.05) activities respect to the control. Compound (1) significantly prolonged the latency for death with respect to control (39.20±8.70 vs. 13.20±2.58min, p<0.001). Compound (1) was the most effective compound in circulatory hypoxia. It significantly prolonged the latency for death with respect to control (14.44±2.82 vs. 9.82±0.79 min, p<0.01). On the other hand, Chlorogenic acid (2) at a dose of 100 mg kg-1 kept mice alive for 12.76±1.30min (p>0.05). None of two phenolic acids had any activity in haemic hypoxia when compared to control.


Asunto(s)
Ácido Clorogénico/farmacología , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Rutina/farmacología , Animales , Ácido Clorogénico/química , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Ratones , Estructura Molecular , Oxígeno/sangre , Fenitoína/farmacología , Rutina/química
8.
Respir Med ; 189: 106659, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34700206

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Whether long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT) improves survival in interstitial lung disease (ILD) is unclear. A recent study reported similar survival in ILD patients with severe hypoxemia on LTOT vs. moderate hypoxemia without LTOT, and proposed that LTOT could be indicated in ILD already at moderate hypoxemia. The aim of this study was to compare survival by severity of hypoxemia in patients with ILD and COPD, respectively, treated with LTOT. METHODS: A population-based, longitudinal study of adults starting LTOT for ILD or COPD 1987-2018. Transplant-free survival was compared between moderate (PaO2 7.4-8.7 kPa) and severe (PaO2<7.4 kPa) hypoxemia using Cox regression, adjusted for age, sex, BMI, smoking status, WHO performance status, year of starting LTOT, diagnosis of heart failure, ischemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: In total, 17,084 patients were included, with ILD and moderate (n = 470) or severe hypoxemia (n = 2,408), and COPD with moderate (n = 2,087) or severe hypoxemia (n = 12,119). Compared with in COPD, ILD patients on LTOT had lower transplant-free survival after one year (41.9 vs. 67.1%) and two years (20.3 vs. 46.5%). In COPD worse hypoxemia was associated with slightly increased risk of death/lung transplantation, aHR 1.07 (1.00-1.14), a difference not shown in ILD, aHR 0.91 (0.80-1.03). CONCLUSION: Transplant-free survival did not differ in ILD patients between moderate and severe hypoxia despite LTOT.


Asunto(s)
Hipoxia/terapia , Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales/terapia , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/métodos , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/terapia , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Estudios Longitudinales , Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/mortalidad , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Análisis de Supervivencia
9.
Biomark Med ; 15(16): 1509-1517, 2021 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34668393

RESUMEN

Background: The contribution of endothelial injury in the pathogenesis of COVID-19-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and resulting respiratory failure remains unclear. Plasma endostatin, an endogenous inhibitor of angiogenesis and endothelial dysfunction is upregulated during hypoxia, inflammation and progress of pulmonary disease. Aim: To investigate if plasma endostatin is associated to hypoxia, inflammation and 30-day mortality in patients with severe COVID-19 infection. Method: Samples for blood analysis and plasma endostatin quantification were collected from adult patients with ongoing COVID-19 (n = 109) on admission to intensive care unit (day 1). Demographic characteristics and 30-day mortality data were extracted from medical records. The ability of endostatin to predict mortality was analyzed using receiving operating characteristics and Kaplan-Meier analysis with a cutoff at 46.2 ng/ml was used to analyze the association to survival. Results: Plasma endostatin levels correlated with; PaO2/FiO2 (r = -0.3, p < 0.001), arterial oxygen tension (r = -0.2, p = 0.01), lactate (r = 0.2, p = 0.04), C-reactive protein (r = 0.2, p = 0.04), ferritin (r = 0.2, p = 0.09), D-dimer (r = 0.2, p = 0.08) and IL-6 (r = 0.4, p < 0.001). Nonsurvivors at 30 days had higher plasma endostatin levels than survivors (72 ± 26 vs 56 ± 16 ng/ml, p = 0.01). Receiving operating characteristic curve (area under the curve 0.7) showed that plasma endostatin >46.2 ng/ml predicts mortality with a sensitivity of 92% and specificity of 71%. In patients with plasma endostatin >46.2 ng/ml probability of survival was lower (p = 0.02) in comparison to those with endostatin <46.2 ng/ml. Conclusion: Our results suggest that plasma endostatin is an early biomarker for disease severity in COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Endostatinas/sangre , Hipoxia , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria , SARS-CoV-2/metabolismo , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/sangre , COVID-19/mortalidad , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/sangre , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/sangre , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/mortalidad , Tasa de Supervivencia
10.
Crit Care ; 25(1): 224, 2021 06 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34193220

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies reporting the causes of death in patients with severe COVID-19 have provided conflicting results. The objective of this study was to describe the causes and timing of death in patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: We performed a retrospective study in eight ICUs across seven French hospitals. All consecutive adult patients (aged ≥ 18 years) admitted to the ICU with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and acute respiratory failure were included in the analysis. The causes and timing of ICU deaths were reported based on medical records. RESULTS: From March 1, 2020, to April 28, 287 patients were admitted to the ICU for SARS-CoV-2 related acute respiratory failure. Among them, 93 patients died in the ICU (32%). COVID-19-related multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) was the leading cause of death (37%). Secondary infection-related MODS accounted for 26% of ICU deaths, with a majority of ventilator-associated pneumonia. Refractory hypoxemia/pulmonary fibrosis was responsible for death in 19% of the cases. Fatal ischemic events (venous or arterial) occurred in 13% of the cases. The median time from ICU admission to death was 15 days (25th-75th IQR, 7-27 days). COVID-19-related MODS had a median time from ICU admission to death of 14 days (25th-75th IQR: 7-19 days), while only one death had occurred during the first 3 days since ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: In our multicenter observational study, COVID-19-related MODS and secondary infections were the two leading causes of death, among severe COVID-19 patients admitted to the ICU.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/mortalidad , Neumonía Viral/mortalidad , Adulto , Causas de Muerte , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Hipoxia/virología , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Isquemia/mortalidad , Isquemia/virología , Masculino , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/virología , Neumonía Asociada al Ventilador/mortalidad , Neumonía Asociada al Ventilador/virología , Neumonía Viral/virología , Fibrosis Pulmonar/mortalidad , Fibrosis Pulmonar/virología , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
11.
BMC Pulm Med ; 21(1): 160, 2021 May 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33985472

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To investigate the indications for high-flow nasal cannula oxygen (HFNC) therapy in patients with hypoxemia during ventilator weaning and to explore the predictors of reintubation when treatment fails. METHODS: Adult patients with hypoxemia weaning from mechanical ventilation were identified from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The patients were assigned to the treatment group or control group according to whether they were receiving HFNC or non-invasive ventilation (NIV) after extubation. The 28-day mortality and 28-day reintubation rates were compared between the two groups after Propensity score matching (PSM). The predictor for reintubation was formulated according to the risk factors with the XGBoost algorithm. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated for reintubation prediction according to values at 4 h after extubation, which was compared with the ratio of SpO2/FiO2 to respiratory rate (ROX index). RESULTS: A total of 524,520 medical records were screened, and 801 patients with moderate or severe hypoxemia when undergoing mechanical ventilation weaning were included (100 < PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 300 mmHg), including 358 patients who received HFNC therapy after extubation in the treatment group. There were 315 patients with severe hypoxemia (100 < PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 200 mmHg) before extubation, and 190 patients remained in the treatment group with median oxygenation index 166[157,180] mmHg after PSM. There were no significant differences in the 28-day reintubation rate or 28-day mortality between the two groups with moderate or severe hypoxemia (all P > 0.05). Then HR/SpO2 was formulated as a predictor for 48-h reintubation according to the important features predicting weaning failure. According to values at 4 h after extubation, the AUC of HR/SpO2 was 0.657, which was larger than that of ROX index (0.583). When the HR/SpO2 reached 1.2 at 4 h after extubation, the specificity for 48-h reintubation prediction was 93%. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment effect of HFNC therapy is not inferior to that of NIV, even on patients with oxygenation index from 160 to 180 mmHg when weaning from ventilator. HR/SpO2 is more early and accurate in predicting HFNC failure than ROX index.


Asunto(s)
Hipoxia/terapia , Ventilación no Invasiva , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia , Anciano , Cánula , Cuidados Críticos , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Ventilación no Invasiva/efectos adversos , Oxígeno , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/mortalidad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Tiempo
12.
Br J Anaesth ; 126(6): 1173-1181, 2021 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33812665

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Neonates and infants are susceptible to hypoxaemia in the perioperative period. The aim of this study was to analyse interventions related to anaesthesia tracheal intubations in this European cohort and identify their clinical consequences. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of tracheal intubations of the European multicentre observational trial (NEonate and Children audiT of Anaesthesia pRactice IN Europe [NECTARINE]) in neonates and small infants with difficult tracheal intubation. The primary endpoint was the incidence of difficult intubation and the related complications. The secondary endpoints were the risk factors for severe hypoxaemia attributed to difficult airway management, and 30 and 90 day outcomes. RESULTS: Tracheal intubation was planned in 4683 procedures. Difficult tracheal intubation, defined as two failed attempts of direct laryngoscopy, occurred in 266 children (271 procedures) with an incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 5.8% (95% CI, 5.1-6.5). Bradycardia occurred in 8% of the cases with difficult intubation, whereas a significant decrease in oxygen saturation (SpO2<90% for 60 s) was reported in 40%. No associated risk factors could be identified among co-morbidities, surgical, or anaesthesia management. Using propensity scoring to adjust for confounders, difficult anaesthesia tracheal intubation did not lead to an increase in 30 and 90 day morbidity or mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the present study demonstrate a high incidence of difficult tracheal intubation in children less than 60 weeks post-conceptual age commonly resulting in severe hypoxaemia. Reassuringly, the morbidity and mortality at 30 and 90 days was not increased by the occurrence of a difficult intubation event. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02350348.


Asunto(s)
Anestesia/efectos adversos , Hipoxia/epidemiología , Intubación Intratraqueal/efectos adversos , Laringoscopía/efectos adversos , Factores de Edad , Anestesia/mortalidad , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Intubación Intratraqueal/mortalidad , Laringoscopía/mortalidad , Masculino , Auditoría Médica , Estudios Prospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
13.
Respir Med ; 179: 106312, 2021 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33636568

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Efforts to meet increased oxygen demands in COVID-19 patients are a priority in averting mechanical ventilation (MV), associated with high mortality approaching 76.4-97.2%. Novel methods of oxygen delivery could mitigate that risk. Oxygen hoods/helmets may improve: O2-saturation (SaO2), reduce in-hospital mechanical ventilation and mortality rates, and reduce length of hospitalization in hypoxic Covid-19 patients failing on conventional high-flow oxygen delivery systems. METHODS: DesignProspective Controlled Cohort Study. SettingSingle Center. ParticipantsAll patients admitted with a diagnosis of COVID-19 were reviewed and 136/347 patients met inclusion criteria. Study period3/6/2020 to 5/1/2020. 136 participants completed the study with known status for all outcome measures. Intervention or exposureOxygen hoods/helmets as compared to conventional high-flow oxygen delivery systems. MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S): 1) Pre and post change in oxygen saturation (SaO2). 2) In-hospital Mechanical Ventilation (MV). 3) In-hospital Mortality. 4) Length of hospitalization. RESULTS: 136 patients including 58-intervention and 78-control patients were studied. Age, gender, and other demographics/prognostic indicators were comparable between cohorts. Oxygen hoods averted imminent or immediate intubation/MV in all 58 COVID-19 patients failing on conventional high-flow oxygen delivery systems with a mean improvement in SaO2 of 8.8%, p < 0.001. MV rates were observed to be higher in the control 37/78 (47.4%) as compared to the intervention cohort 23/58 (39.7%), a difference of 7.7%, a 27% risk reduction, not statistically significant, OR 95%CI 0.73 (0.37-1.5). Mortality rates were observed higher in the control 54/78 (69.2%) as compared to the intervention cohort 36/58 (62.1%), a difference of 7.1%, a 27% risk reduction, not statistically significant OR 95%CI 0.73 (0.36-1.5). CONCLUSION: Oxygen hoods demonstrate improvement in SaO2 for patients failing on conventional high-flow oxygen-delivery systems and prevented imminent mechanical ventilation. In-hospital mechanical ventilation and mortality rates were reduced with the use of oxygen hoods but not found to be statistically significant. The oxygen hood is a safe, effective oxygen-delivery system which may reduce intubation/MV and mortality rates. Their use should be considered in treating hypoxic COVID-19 patients. Further research is warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04407260.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/complicaciones , Hipoxia/terapia , Consumo de Oxígeno/fisiología , Terapia por Inhalación de Oxígeno/instrumentación , Respiración Artificial/instrumentación , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/epidemiología , Falla de Equipo , Femenino , Humanos , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pandemias , Pronóstico , Estudios Prospectivos , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias , Insuficiencia del Tratamiento , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
14.
Theranostics ; 11(7): 3376-3391, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33537093

RESUMEN

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) and the associated metastatic lesions are reported to be hypoxic. Hypoxia is a common feature in the tumor microenvironment and a potent stimulant of CRC. We have identified a regulatory role of Nur77 on Akt activation to enhance ß-catenin signaling essential for CRC progression under hypoxic conditions. Methods: The functional role of Nur77 in hypoxia-induced EMT was examined by scattering assays to monitor the morphologies of CRC cell lines under 1% O2. Sphere formation assays were performed to investigate whether Nur77 induced cancer stem cell-like properties in hypoxic CRC cells. The expression of various epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) and stemness markers was analyzed by qPCR and Western blotting. Finally, Nur77 function and signaling in vivo was ascertained in subcutaneous tumor xenograft or liver metastasis model in nude mice using CRC cells stably transfected with appropriate constructs. Results: Herein, we show, for the first time, that Nur77 is a novel regulator of microRNA biogenesis that may underlie its significant tumor-promoting activities in CRC cells under hypoxia. Mechanistically, Nur77 interacted with the tumor suppressor protein p63, leading to the inhibition of p63-dependent transcription of Dicer, an important miRNA processor and subsequent decrease in the biogenesis of let-7i-5p which targeted the 3'UTR of p110α mRNA and regulated its stability. Knockdown of Nur77 or overexpression of let-7i-5p inhibited the tumor metastasis in vivo. Conclusion: Our data uncovered a novel mechanistic link connecting Nur77, Akt, and invasive properties of CRC in the hypoxic microenvironment.


Asunto(s)
Adenocarcinoma/genética , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinasa Clase I/genética , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , ARN Helicasas DEAD-box/genética , Hipoxia/genética , Neoplasias Hepáticas/genética , MicroARNs/genética , Miembro 1 del Grupo A de la Subfamilia 4 de Receptores Nucleares/genética , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas c-akt/genética , Ribonucleasa III/genética , Adenocarcinoma/metabolismo , Adenocarcinoma/mortalidad , Adenocarcinoma/secundario , Animales , Carcinogénesis/genética , Carcinogénesis/metabolismo , Carcinogénesis/patología , Línea Celular Tumoral , Movimiento Celular , Proliferación Celular , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinasa Clase I/metabolismo , Neoplasias Colorrectales/metabolismo , Neoplasias Colorrectales/mortalidad , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , ARN Helicasas DEAD-box/metabolismo , Transición Epitelial-Mesenquimal/genética , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica , Humanos , Hipoxia/metabolismo , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Hipoxia/patología , Neoplasias Hepáticas/metabolismo , Neoplasias Hepáticas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Hepáticas/secundario , Ratones , Ratones Desnudos , MicroARNs/metabolismo , Células Madre Neoplásicas/metabolismo , Células Madre Neoplásicas/patología , Miembro 1 del Grupo A de la Subfamilia 4 de Receptores Nucleares/antagonistas & inhibidores , Miembro 1 del Grupo A de la Subfamilia 4 de Receptores Nucleares/metabolismo , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas c-akt/metabolismo , Ribonucleasa III/metabolismo , Transducción de Señal , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Transcripción/genética , Factores de Transcripción/metabolismo , Carga Tumoral , Proteínas Supresoras de Tumor/genética , Proteínas Supresoras de Tumor/metabolismo , Ensayos Antitumor por Modelo de Xenoinjerto
15.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(3)2021 01 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33431674

RESUMEN

Metastasis is the major cause of cancer death. An increased level of circulating tumor cells (CTCs), metastatic cancer cells that have intravasated into the circulatory system, is particularly associated with colonization of distant organs and poor prognosis. However, the key factors required for tumor cell dissemination and colonization remain elusive. We found that high expression of desmoglein2 (DSG2), a component of desmosome-mediated intercellular adhesion complexes, promoted tumor growth, increased the prevalence of CTC clusters, and facilitated distant organ colonization. The dynamic regulation of DSG2 by hypoxia was key to this process, as down-regulation of DSG2 in hypoxic regions of primary tumors led to elevated epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) gene expression, allowing cells to detach from the primary tumor and undergo intravasation. Subsequent derepression of DSG2 after intravasation and release of hypoxic stress was associated with an increased ability to colonize distant organs. This dynamic regulation of DSG2 was mediated by Hypoxia-Induced Factor1α (HIF1α). In contrast to its more widely observed function to promote expression of hypoxia-inducible genes, HIF1α repressed DSG2 by recruitment of the polycomb repressive complex 2 components, EZH2 and SUZ12, to the DSG2 promoter in hypoxic cells. Consistent with our experimental data, DSG2 expression level correlated with poor prognosis and recurrence risk in breast cancer patients. Together, these results demonstrated the importance of DSG2 expression in metastasis and revealed a mechanism by which hypoxia drives metastasis.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/genética , Desmogleína 2/genética , Transición Epitelial-Mesenquimal/genética , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/genética , Hipoxia/genética , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/genética , Animales , Neoplasias de la Mama/metabolismo , Neoplasias de la Mama/mortalidad , Neoplasias de la Mama/patología , Línea Celular Tumoral , Desmogleína 2/antagonistas & inhibidores , Desmogleína 2/metabolismo , Proteína Potenciadora del Homólogo Zeste 2/genética , Proteína Potenciadora del Homólogo Zeste 2/metabolismo , Femenino , Regulación Neoplásica de la Expresión Génica , Humanos , Hipoxia/metabolismo , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Hipoxia/patología , Subunidad alfa del Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/metabolismo , Metástasis Linfática , Ratones , Ratones SCID , Proteínas de Neoplasias/genética , Proteínas de Neoplasias/metabolismo , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/metabolismo , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/mortalidad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Células Neoplásicas Circulantes/metabolismo , Células Neoplásicas Circulantes/patología , Complejo Represivo Polycomb 2/genética , Complejo Represivo Polycomb 2/metabolismo , Regiones Promotoras Genéticas , ARN Interferente Pequeño/genética , ARN Interferente Pequeño/metabolismo , Transducción de Señal , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Transcripción/genética , Factores de Transcripción/metabolismo , Carga Tumoral , Ensayos Antitumor por Modelo de Xenoinjerto
16.
BMC Anesthesiol ; 21(1): 25, 2021 01 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33482733

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Serum lactate has long been used to evaluate hypoxia and predict prognosis in critically ill patients, however, discrepancy in lactate measurements between different sites have not been recognized as a useful tool for monitoring hypoxia and evaluating outcome. METHODS: Data were obtained from the clinical information system of the intensive care unit (ICU) in a tertiary academic hospital for 1582 ICU patients with vasoactive drug requirement and valid paired blood gas. The mortality rates were compared between patients with sustained negative venous to arterial lactate gradient (VALac) and the others using the Cox proportional hazard model. Predictive factors associated with negative VALac were searched. RESULTS: A sustained negative VALac was significantly associated with higher 30 day ICU mortality [Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 2.31, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-4.99; p = 0.032. Propensity score- weighted HR: 2.57; 95% CI, 1.17-5.64; p = 0.010]. Arterial lactate in the first blood gas pair, 24-h arterial lactate clearance, use of epinephrine, mean positive end-expiratory pressure level, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation initiation showed statistically significant association with sustained negative VALac during the first 24 h. CONCLUSION: The sustained negative VALac in the early stage of treatment may suggest additional information about tissue hypoxia than arterial lactate alone. Critical care physicians should pay more attention to the lactate discrepancy between different sites in their clinical practice.


Asunto(s)
Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Hipoxia/sangre , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Ácido Láctico/sangre , Vasoconstrictores/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Arterias , Beijing , Estudios de Cohortes , Enfermedad Crítica , Femenino , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Venas
17.
J Neurochem ; 158(2): 246-261, 2021 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33389746

RESUMEN

Although cyclooxygenase (COX) role in cancer angiogenesis has been studied, little is known about its role in brain angioplasticity. In the present study, we chronically infused mice with ketorolac, a non-specific COX inhibitor that does not cross the blood-brain barrier (BBB), under normoxia or 50% isobaric hypoxia (10% O2 by volume). Ketorolac increased mortality rate under hypoxia in a dose-dependent manner. Using in vivo multiphoton microscopy, we demonstrated that chronic COX inhibition completely attenuated brain angiogenic response to hypoxia. Alterations in a number of angiogenic factors that were reported to be COX-dependent in other models were assayed at 24-hr and 10-day hypoxia. Intriguingly, hypoxia-inducible factor 1 was unaffected under COX inhibition, and vascular endothelial growth factor receptor type 2 (VEGFR2) and C-X-C chemokine receptor type 4 (CXCR4) were significantly but slightly decreased. However, a number of mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPKs) were significantly reduced upon COX inhibition. We conclude that additional, angiogenic factor-independent mechanism might contribute to COX role in brain angioplasticity, probably including mitogenic COX effect on endothelium. Our data indicate that COX activity is critical for systemic adaptation to chronic hypoxia, and BBB COX is essential for hypoxia-induced brain angioplasticity. These data also indicate a potential risk for using COX inhibitors under hypoxia conditions in clinics. Further studies are required to elucidate a complete mechanism for brain long-term angiogenesis regulation through COX activity.


Asunto(s)
Inhibidores de la Angiogénesis/farmacología , Inhibidores de la Ciclooxigenasa/farmacología , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Ketorolaco/farmacología , Animales , Enfermedad Crónica , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Endotelio Vascular/metabolismo , Factor 1 Inducible por Hipoxia/metabolismo , Masculino , Ratones , Ratones Endogámicos C57BL , Mitógenos/farmacología , Prostaglandinas/metabolismo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Receptor 2 de Factores de Crecimiento Endotelial Vascular/metabolismo
18.
Sleep Breath ; 25(1): 95-103, 2021 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32232718

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Patients with moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) have an increased risk of cardiovascular comorbidities and mortality. Although different subtypes of OSA have been described, data about oximetric parameters and their suitability to identify a different phenotype are scant. In this study, we evaluate the association between moderate to severe OSA and oximetric parameters included in the home sleep apnea test (HSAT) and the risks of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and cancer mortality. METHODS: Adult patients with moderate to severe OSA from a clinical cohort in Chile were included (SantOSA study). We developed a latent class analysis (LCA) incorporating oximetric measures commonly reported on HSAT. Differences between the groups were evaluated using ANOVA and the chi-squared test. Survival curves were constructed using a Kaplan-Meier (log-rank) model, and adjusted hazard ratios of mortality were calculated using a Cox regression model following a confounder analysis of cardiovascular comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 889 patients were included in the analysis. LCA identified three different clusters: Cluster 1, "nonhypoxemic" (n = 591); cluster 2, "moderately hypoxemic" (n = 297); and cluster 3, "severely hypoxemic" (n = 115). The mean follow-up was 4.7 years. The hypoxemic groups showed an increased risk of cardiometabolic comorbidities and an independent risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.67 (CI 1.0-2.64) p value = 0.027). The moderately hypoxemic group had an adjusted HR of 2.92 (CI 1.00-8.58), p value = 0.05, while the severely hypoxemic group had an adjusted HR of 2.55 (CI 1.08-6.02), p value = 0.031. For cardiovascular mortality, we found an HR of 2.03 (CI 0.50-8.136), p value = 0.31, and for cancer mortality, we found an HR of 5.75 (CI 1.03-32.17), p value = 0.042. CONCLUSION: Oximetric parameters are useful for describing a different phenotype with a high risk of mortality among patients with moderate to severe OSA, beyond the apnea-hypopnea index.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Causas de Muerte , Análisis por Conglomerados , Comorbilidad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Hipoxia/diagnóstico , Hipoxia/etiología , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oximetría , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/complicaciones
19.
Pulmonology ; 27(1): 35-42, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32127307

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Mortality of patients with pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) admitted to emergency departments is high. This study was aimed at analysing the risk factors associated with early mortality and designing a risk score based on simple parameters. METHODS: This prospective case-control study enrolled patients admitted to the emergency department of a referral TB hospital. Clinical, radiological, biochemical and microbiological risk factors associated with death were compared among patients dying within one week from admission (cases) and those surviving (controls). RESULTS: Forty-nine of 250 patients (19.6%) experienced early mortality. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that oxygen saturation (SaO2) ≤90%, severe malnutrition, tachypnoea, tachycardia, hypotension, advanced disease at chest radiography, severe anaemia, hyponatremia, hypoproteinemia and hypercapnia were independently and significantly associated with early mortality. A clinical scoring system was further designed to stratify the risk of death by selecting five simple parameters (SpO2 ≤ 90%, tachypnoea, hypotension, advanced disease at chest radiography and tachycardia). This model predicted early mortality with a positive predictive value of 94.88% and a negative predictive value of 19.90%. CONCLUSIONS: The scoring system based on simple parameters may help to refer severely ill patients early to a higher level to reduce mortality, improve success rates, minimise the need for pulmonary rehabilitation and prevent post-treatment sequelae.


Asunto(s)
Mortalidad Hospitalaria/tendencias , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Proyectos de Investigación/normas , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/mortalidad , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Femenino , Hospitalización/tendencias , Humanos , Hipotensión/complicaciones , Hipotensión/mortalidad , Hipoxia/complicaciones , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Radiografía Torácica/métodos , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Taquicardia/complicaciones , Taquicardia/mortalidad , Taquipnea/complicaciones , Taquipnea/mortalidad , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/rehabilitación
20.
J Gen Intern Med ; 36(3): 730-737, 2021 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33274414

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Uncertainty surrounding COVID-19 regarding rapid progression to acute respiratory distress syndrome and unusual clinical characteristics make discharge from a monitored setting challenging. A clinical risk score to predict 14-day occurrence of hypoxia, ICU admission, and death is unavailable. OBJECTIVE: Derive and validate a risk score to predict suitability for discharge from a monitored setting among an early cohort of patients with COVID-19. DESIGN: Model derivation and validation in a retrospective cohort. We built a manual forward stepwise logistic regression model to identify variables associated with suitability for discharge and assigned points to each variable. Event-free patients were included after at least 14 days of follow-up. PARTICIPANTS: All adult patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis between March 1, 2020, and April 12, 2020, in 10 hospitals in Massachusetts, USA. MAIN MEASURES: Fourteen-day composite predicting hypoxia, ICU admission, and death. We calculated a risk score for each patient as a predictor of suitability for discharge evaluated by area under the curve. KEY RESULTS: Of 2059 patients with COVID-19, 1326 met inclusion. The 1014-patient training cohort had a mean age of 58 years, was 56% female, and 65% had at least one comorbidity. A total of 255 (25%) patients were suitable for discharge. Variables associated with suitability for discharge were age, oxygen saturation, and albumin level, yielding a risk score between 0 and 55. At a cut point of 30, the score had a sensitivity of 83% and specificity of 82%. The respective c-statistic for the derivation and validation cohorts were 0.8939 (95% CI, 0.8687 to 0.9192) and 0.8685 (95% CI, 0.8095 to 0.9275). The score performed similarly for inpatients and emergency department patients. CONCLUSIONS: A 3-item risk score for patients with COVID-19 consisting of age, oxygen saturation, and an acute phase reactant (albumin) using point of care data predicts suitability for discharge and may optimize scarce resources.


Asunto(s)
Prueba de COVID-19/estadística & datos numéricos , COVID-19/mortalidad , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Respiración Artificial/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , COVID-19/terapia , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo
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